What are the odds this hypothesis holds up?
Pick a question and take a side. The market sets the prices. Weekly AI estimates help you weigh the evidence.
Find a question worth trading
See the price, read the evidence, and decide what you think.
No markets are listed yet.
Price, evidence, outcome
See the price, read the evidence, and know how a market ends.
What a price means
YES and NO tokens trade in separate pools. The prices show the cost of each token, before trading fees and price impact.
What the AI estimate is
Three AI models read the published evidence each week and give their read, with the reasoning and sources shown on the market page. The estimate is a reading to consider. It does not set prices or decide what you get paid.
How a market ends
Every market has a written rule for settling it. When a market settles, a winning token pays $1, minus a small redemption fee printed on the market page. A losing token pays nothing.
This week's evidence
What the models think, and the research behind it. The updates are for reading. They do not set the price.
No research updates for the current contracts yet. Their definitions and background sources are available on each market page.
New to Solana? Start with the wallet guide. It walks through installing a wallet and funding it. Read without an account.
Trading can lose money. Each market shows whether its pool is open. There are also risks around the tokens, the code and the law. Read the risk disclosure before trading.