Science Markets

Research updates

Changes in AI estimates. Open a market to read the reasoning and sources.

Oct 16, 2026
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
ENCL
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
IRON
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
ECS3
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
NEUR
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
ASGARD
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
WATER
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
RNA
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
AXION
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
DEOS
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
PDEC
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
NUMA
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
DMAT
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
QSUP
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
PNP
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
NS3D
AI estimate no estimate recorded
This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The init… Read update

This is a new contract, not a migrated position or a continuation of old forecast history. The initial 0.50 is an initialization convention, not an AI forecast or an assessed scientific probability. Reference links are background sources, not a claim that the YES/NO criterion has been met. No real round or liquidity was created by catalog synchronization.

Reasoning and sources →
RIEM
About these updates

Three models receive the same stored packet and can search separately when web search is enabled. Items marked “no model output” are placeholders, not new assessments. Methodology