Questions and answers

The market does. Buying and selling in Raydium's separate YES/USDC and NO/USDC pools moves each price. The weekly AI estimate is guidance; it does not reprice either pool. Mint-and-merge arbitrage pushes the executable pair price toward $1, subject to fees and liquidity.

0.40 USDC per token before swap fees and price impact. A displayed spot observation is not an executable quote or a guaranteed probability.

Three models' average assessment of the published evidence. It may not be a calibrated probability, and it is not scientific truth. Their reasoning and sources are available on each market page. Demo readings are labelled and excluded from the live AI chart.

A complete YES + NO pair locks 1 USDC. After final resolution, the winning token pays 1 USDC gross less the disclosed redemption fee; the losing token pays zero. Mint fees and swap costs are separate.

No. A weekly update is an evidence read; it does not pay anyone. When a market finalizes, the winning token becomes redeemable and you redeem it yourself from your own wallet. Settlement does not send money automatically. Markets without a terminal binding still use the proposal, challenge and finalization stages. Terminal-mode markets have no appeal or reopening and require finalized on-chain verification, not model agreement alone.

Matching explicit YES/NO evidence-criteria verdicts from three frozen trusted adapters and models, using the same frozen context and packet. The matching reports are recorded and a settlement transaction is signed and sent to Solana; the site shows the outcome only after the transaction is finalized on chain and the market account matches. Probability-only reports, UNDECIDED, disagreement, missing or invalid reports do not settle. Signatures do not prove scientific truth.

Automatic terminal settlement switches on market by market as each market's on-chain checks pass. Markets without a terminal binding keep their proposal, challenge and finalization stages. Methodology

Yes, while trading is available. You sell through Raydium, the exchange where these tokens trade. Thin liquidity can lower your sale price or prevent a sale. There is no weekly cash-out at the AI estimate.

No. You can lose what you spend, including fees, but you won’t owe anything more.

No verified pool observations have been recorded in the selected window. Raydium's pool-info API supplies current spot prices, not historical candles. We save observations going forward when configured; we never turn AI history into market-price history.

No. Markets, evidence and AI reasoning are public. Trading requires your own Solana wallet and compliance with access restrictions. Start with the wallet guide.

Check the market's trading status and pool links. If verified pools are not available, trading is not open for that market. The wallet guide explains the steps; the risk disclosure covers deployment, audit and access requirements.